How NCUA Evaluates Your Credit Union Earnings

Hello, this is Samantha Shares.

This episode covers NCUA's
letter to Credit Union's No.

6 CU4 on the topic of the
evaluation of earnings.

While this letter is many years old,
it is still cited in NCUA's examination

as support for document of resolutions.

The following is an audio version of
that advisory and the press release.

This podcast is educational
and is not legal advice.

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And now the letter, Evaluating
Earnings in Credit Unions.

Credit unions are not for profit
cooperative financial institutions.

Groups of people sharing a common bond
form credit unions to pool their resources

to provide access to affordable financial
services designed to meet their needs.

As a cooperative not for profit
organization, a credit union's

mission is to provide financial
services to their members, not to

earn a profit for stockholders.

Any economic value generated by the
credit union that is undistributed i.

e.

not used to absorb costs or provide an
immediate return to the members is held

on behalf of and owned by the members.

Though not for profit, credit unions must
generate revenue for two primary reasons.

One, to cover the costs of
providing members with financial

services, and two, to maintain a
safe and sound level of net worth.

Net worth is necessary to provide
protection against unexpected future

costs and a foundation for member service
growth and initiatives, as well as

to meet regulatory capital standards.

In order to build and maintain
appropriate net worth levels, credit

unions must retain earnings, i.

e., have a net income sometimes
referred to as a profit.

NCUA's mission statement is, to foster
the safety and soundness of federally

insured credit unions and better enable
the credit union community to extend

financial services for provident and
productive purposes to all who seek such

service, while recognizing and encouraging
credit unions historical emphasis on

extension of financial To those of
modest means, this mission statement

highlights a balance that both N.

C.

U.

A.

and Credit Unions must strive to maintain,
balancing safety and soundness with the

mission of extending financial services.

Perhaps the most notable way this
challenge manifests itself is in

determining the right level of network.

Net worth is essential to credit unions.

Not only does it protect against
uncertainties, but also provides a

foundation for the long term viability
of the credit union, ensuring continued

credit union service for current and
subsequent generations of members.

When net worth is too low, An institution
is exposed to a high risk of failure.

On the other hand, when net worth is
too high, members may not be receiving

all the benefits and services that could
be safely provided and or the credit

union may not be taking advantage of
opportunities to position itself to

expand member benefits in the future.

Despite a natural tendency to err
on the side of conservatism, NCUA's

supervisory oversight must support
credit unions efforts to balance net

worth needs with providing value.

and achieving longer term strategic goals.

Earnings Assessment Framework.

As the purpose of retaining earnings
for credit unions is to build or

maintain net worth, the analysis of
earnings is fundamentally linked with

the net worth needs of the credit union.

This is reflected in NCUA's CAMEL Rating
System, Letters 03 COOS 04 CAMEL Rating

System, which lists the net worth level
and sufficiency of earnings for necessary

capital formation as key factors to
consider when assessing earnings.

In fact, earnings needs in credit
unions are a function of the net

worth ratio goal, which in turn is
affected by asset growth levels.

Thus retained earnings goals set
independently, as if net income is an

aspect of a credit union's financial
performance that has merit in and of

itself, run the risk of being incompatible
with other organizational goals.

Further, there is distinct time
dimension to any analysis of earnings.

This is due to the following.

Thank you for listening.

Net worth goals involve both immediate
considerations as well as strategic

ones related to future risks and growth
and member service expansion plans.

The officials have to balance the
immediate return of earnings to

the members in various forms e.

g.

dividends, lower loan rates, etc.

with the retention of earnings
to fund future member benefits.

Variations over time and economic
conditions affecting a credit

union's cost structure and rates
on loan and share products.

There is no simple metric for determining
what an individual credit union's R.

O.

A.

level should be.

A 1 percent R.

O.

A.

level has served as the rule of
thumb for good performance for

financial institutions for some time.

The establishment of the Camel Matrix
in 1987 canonized for credit unions

a 1 percent Our OWA by tying it to a
CAML one component rating for earnings.

However, as emphasized in NCU, a letter
to credit unions, zero three CUSO

for March, 2003 CAML rating system.

CAML ratings are not automatically
determined by matrix ratios.

Editorial comment.

NCU has eliminated the matrix
since this letter was issued.

Each credit union's earnings level must
be evaluated based on the credit union's

unique needs, as well as overall economic
trends affecting financial institutions.

For example, consider
contemporary economic trends.

In 2005, aggregate credit union, RO,
had dropped to 85 basis points, the

lowest level in at least 20 years.

Interest rates have been rising
steadily since mid 2004, with the

Federal Reserve raising interest
rates for the 17th consecutive time.

As a result, the net interest
margin declined to 3.

24%, its lowest level
in at least 20 years.

The low net interest margin, and
thus reduced ROA, is a direct

result of both a rising rate
environment and a flat yield curve.

Credit unions partially offset
the pressure on earnings with

increased fee and other income,
with this source of income playing

an increasingly larger role.

However, credit unions aggregate net
worth ratio is at record levels and

actually increased 30 basis points to 11.

24%.

Despite a decline in ROA
net worth growth of 7.

59%, outpaced the modest
asset growth of 4.

9%.

Consistent with the purpose of net
worth, credit unions are well positioned

with ample net worth levels to accept
lower ROA levels during the current

economic climate that has resulted
in reduced net interest margins.

Transcribed Consider that, on average,
the modest asset growth levels credit

unions have experienced over the last
10 years require an ROA of only 55

basis points to maintain net worth
levels at their current strong level.

Thus, credit unions need not engage
in reactive or extraordinary measures

simply because earnings levels
decline as a result of broader

economic conditions when net worth
levels meet or exceed their needs.

In fact, such measures likely
involve significant risks, either in

terms of accepting greater risks to
generate higher returns, and or in

terms of short sighted trade offs e.

g.

increasing fees, selling less profitable
business lines, engaging in high risk

lending affecting the longer term
strategic positioning of the credit union.

Examiner Assessment of Earnings.

Examiners do not evaluate
earnings globally with peer

ratios or camel benchmarks.

Earnings are evaluated on a case
by case basis unique to each

credit union's circumstances.

An examiner's review of earnings
is in relation to each credit

union's risk profile, operational
context, and strategic plans.

The ROA level is not the primary focus
of an examiner's assessment of earnings.

Historical earnings levels are somewhat
relevant to assessing management's

record in managing earnings.

However, it is quite possible for
a credit union to have impressive

profitability ratios by assuming
an unacceptable degree of risk.

Thus, examiners assess management's
capability in managing the risk versus

reward trade off, evaluating earnings by
considering the quality of the earnings

structure, fit with the overall strategies
of the credit union, future direction

of earnings performance, Ability of the
credit union to realize an adequate level

of earnings in a safe and sound manner.

Lower ROA levels will be viewed positively
if they are the result of a sound and

well executed strategy to balance risk
exposure or incur costs to position

the credit union to achieve longer term
growth and member service objectives.

In addition, examiners recognize that
the purpose for credit unions retaining

earnings is maintaining appropriate, but
not excessive, net worth levels relative

to the risk profile of the credit union.

In fact, executing a sound plan to
return excess capital to the membership

or utilize capital to achieve
longer term strategic objectives

can contribute greatly to the long
term success of the credit union.

Examiners also positively incorporate
such strategies into their

evaluation of earnings and capital.

Earnings Red Flags.

Examiners need to evaluate the
level of earnings in relation to

the credit union's risk profile and
the current economic environment.

Below are examples of red flags that
trigger a more in depth review of a

credit union's earnings performance.

Note that inordinately high earnings
levels can be just as much a sign

of a problem as low earnings levels.

Inordinately high net
income could indicate.

Taking on additional risk in the
investment or loan portfolio.

Not providing competitive
dividend or loan rates.

Not providing adequate
services for the membership.

Not planning for new services
or infrastructure to support

the credit union in the future.

Undue reliance on fee income
to support operations.

Management or board goals for
high net income levels given ties

implicit or explicit to bonuses,
salaries, or performance evaluations.

Management believes their examiner will
not tolerate or accept lower earnings

and or net worth, even with a solid plan.

Inordinately low net income could
indicate inefficient operations resulting

in high or out of control expenses
to the detriment of the membership.

Examiners will continue to address high
operating expenses as a problem area

if they do not involve an intentional
increase in the credit union's investment

in infrastructure technology, new
services, increased training, etc.,

as part of a documented,
sound strategic plan.

Exorbitant compensation systems
misaligned with member benefits and

the mission of the credit union.

Inadequate pre planning for new services.

High level of non earning assets
not aligned with the strategic

needs of the credit union.

Economic disruption impacting
the field of membership.

Unsafe dividend levels
attracting volatile share growth.

High loan losses due to
poor credit quality loans.

The fact that a credit union's net income
level is relatively high or low is not

by itself evidence there is a problem.

Rather, it is merely a trigger for
examiners to thoroughly review the

credit union's earnings structure
to determine the underlying factors

that result in the performance.

Examiners assess.

These factors in relation to the credit
union's overall condition, consistency

with the mission of the credit
union and congruence with the credit

union's, strategic plans and budgets.

Conclusion, earnings is one of the
five component ratings contributing to

the overall composite rating examiners
assign under the camel rating system.

Further, the quality of the credit
union's earning structure and

underlying strategies is one of the key
considerations in assignment of risk

ratings in the seven areas of risk under
the Risk Focused Examination Program.

The determination of the CAMEL composite
and component ratings, as well as the

risk ratings in the seven areas of risk,
is a judgmental process and necessitates

the examiner take into account all
All of the subjective and objective

variables that affect a credit union's
financial and operational condition,

as well as their interrelationships.

The key interrelationship examiners
take into consideration for the

earnings camel component rating is the
net worth needs of the credit union.

It is incumbent on credit unions
to proactively develop and

document sound strategic plans.

These plans need to articulate the
balance the officials of the credit

union are seeking in terms of net worth
levels and the actions affecting earnings

to achieve the mission of the credit
union in both the short and long term.

In the absence of documented and sound
plans, attempting to justify poor earnings

performance after the fact is considered
not only a weakness in the earnings

component of CAMEL, but the management
component and relevant risk ratings

in the seven areas of risk as well.

Given their not for profit nature,
an analysis of earnings in credit

unions is admittedly challenging.

It requires factoring in the role
earnings plays in credit unions fulfilling

their mission of providing financial
services for provident and productive

purposes to all who seek such service.

The elected officials seek to balance
the return of current earnings to

the members with retaining earnings
to provide an adequate safety net

and a base for better, lower cost,
and expanded services in the future.

These, along with a variety of other
factors, such as the contemporary

decisions affecting the direction
of the risk in a credit union's

balance sheet, require examiners to
exercise a high degree of professional

judgment when evaluating earnings.

Thus, it is essential credit union
management and examiners have an

open and ongoing dialogue on the
strategic direction of the credit

union in relation to earnings.

Credit union officials and
examiners should welcome any

sincere debates that occur on the
efficacy of a credit union's plans.

A healthy dialogue will help ensure
credit unions are able to fine tune and

execute their strategies effectively,
as well as enable NCUA to balance

our mandates of protecting the share
insurance fund with supporting credit

unions and fulfilling their mission.

This concludes the NCUA letter to credit
unions on the evaluation of earnings.

While it was issued long ago, it is still
an important document to understand as

NCUA still refers to it in examinations.

If your credit union could use assistance
with your exam, reach out to Mark

Treichel on LinkedIn or at marktreichel.

com.

This is Samantha Shares and
we thank you for listening.

How NCUA Evaluates Your Credit Union Earnings
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